Applicability of Two Newmark Models in the Assessment of Coseismic Landslide Hazard and Estimation of Slope-Failure Probability: An Example of the 2008 Wenchuan <i>M</i><sub>w</sub>7.9 Earthquake Affected Area

Siyuan Ma; Chong Xu

doi:10.1007/s12583-019-0874-0

Volume 30 Issue 5

Oct 2019

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Journal of Earth Science > 2019 > 30(5): 1020-1030.

Siyuan Ma, Chong Xu. Applicability of Two Newmark Models in the Assessment of Coseismic Landslide Hazard and Estimation of Slope-Failure Probability: An Example of the 2008 Wenchuan Mw7.9 Earthquake Affected Area. Journal of Earth Science, 2019, 30(5): 1020-1030. doi: 10.1007/s12583-019-0874-0

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Siyuan Ma, Chong Xu. Applicability of Two Newmark Models in the Assessment of Coseismic Landslide Hazard and Estimation of Slope-Failure Probability: An Example of the 2008 Wenchuan M_w7.9 Earthquake Affected Area. Journal of Earth Science, 2019, 30(5): 1020-1030. doi: 10.1007/s12583-019-0874-0

Citation:

Siyuan Ma, Chong Xu. Applicability of Two Newmark Models in the Assessment of Coseismic Landslide Hazard and Estimation of Slope-Failure Probability: An Example of the 2008 Wenchuan M_w7.9 Earthquake Affected Area. Journal of Earth Science, 2019, 30(5): 1020-1030. doi: 10.1007/s12583-019-0874-0

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Applicability of Two Newmark Models in the Assessment of Coseismic Landslide Hazard and Estimation of Slope-Failure Probability: An Example of the 2008 Wenchuan M_w7.9 Earthquake Affected Area

doi: 10.1007/s12583-019-0874-0

Siyuan Ma,
Chong Xu^,

Key Laboratory of Active Tectonics and Volcano, Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100029, China

More Information

Corresponding author: Chong Xu
Received Date: 20 Apr 2019
Accepted Date: 13 Jul 2019
Publish Date: 01 Oct 2019

Abstract

Abstract

This paper presents the landslide hazard assessment and slope-failure function using two Newmark displacement models regressed by regional and global station records. Taking the 2008 Wenchuan M_w7.9 earthquake area as an example, based on the topographic and geological data of the study area, we prepared a factor-of-safety (Fs) map and a critical acceleration (a_c) map, respectively. Then using these two simplified Newmark models, two displacement maps were compiled by combining the a_c map and peak ground acceleration (PGA) map. By virtue of the actual landslide inventory of the Wenchuan earthquake, we constructed the slope-failure probability curves of the two Newmark models. The results show that the abilities to predict landslide occurrence of the two simplified Newmark models are largely identical, by which the assessment results can well delineate the macroscopic distribution of coseismic landslides, and most predicted landslide cells are distributed on the two sides of the Beichuan-Yingxiu fault, especially Pengguan complex rock mass in the hanging wall of this fault. The probability equations of two Newmark models are roughly the same, though the parameters vary slightly. The probability equation proposed in this paper can be applied to the Wenchuan region and other areas with similar tectonic environments.
- Wenchuan earthquake,
- seismic landslides,
- Newmark displacement,
- peak ground acceleration (PGA)

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References(61)

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