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Qiaohua Han, Taohui Li, Chunhai Li, Qiushi Liang, Dandan Yang, Wenxiang Zhang. Socio-ecological thresholds and cascading regulation mechanism of regime unification on carbon burial in Plateau Lakes. Journal of Earth Science. doi: 10.1007/s12583-025-0338-7
Citation: Qiaohua Han, Taohui Li, Chunhai Li, Qiushi Liang, Dandan Yang, Wenxiang Zhang. Socio-ecological thresholds and cascading regulation mechanism of regime unification on carbon burial in Plateau Lakes. Journal of Earth Science. doi: 10.1007/s12583-025-0338-7

Socio-ecological thresholds and cascading regulation mechanism of regime unification on carbon burial in Plateau Lakes

doi: 10.1007/s12583-025-0338-7
Funds:

202401AU070307)

the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42161017&

41972194).

We are grateful the support from Yunnan Science and Technology Plan Project (202401AS070638&

  • Available Online: 20 Aug 2025
  • Lacustrine carbon burial flux serves as sensitive recorders of the earth surface process, yet disentangling anthropogenic forcing from natural variability in plateau ecosystems remains a key challenge for Quaternary sciences. Here, we integrate structural equation modeling (SEM) and binary model with historical geographical data to analyze 3500-year multi-environmental records from nine lakes spanning the vertical zonation of the Yunnan Plateau (1500-4200 m asl). Here, we employed binary and structural equation models (SEM) to explore the interplay of organic-inorganic carbon (TOC-TIC) burial and anthropogenic forcing in regulating mechanisms across Yunnan Plateau lakes. Our findings indicated pronounced geographic divergence in organic-inorganic carbon synergies, with alpine lakes (>3000 m) exhibiting substantial negative TOC-TIC coupling (r=0.47, p<0.001), contrasting sharply with positive synergistic gains in transitional and urban-agglomerated lowland lakes (r=0.58, p<0.001). Notably, we quantified critical thresholds in watershed socio-ecological capacity,nutrient flux contributions to carbon burial surged from 0.73 to 0.88 when human pressure. Political unification events triggered cascading phase transitions through "migration-agriculture-nutrient" feedbacks, reducing lacustrine carbon sink capacity by 3.3%-34.0%. Our study highlights political consolidation as a critical socio-ecological threshold. These insights establish mountain vertical zonation as a geographic modulator of carbon-climate-human interactions, where elevation gradients control the dominance of climate-driven versus anthropogenic-coupled carbon sequestration processes. Meanwhile, this study offers a paradigm for balancing carbon sink conservation with sustainable development in global montane regions, prioritizing protection of climate-vulnerable high-altitude carbon reservoirs under accelerating anthropogenic pressure.

     

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      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

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